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98th Academy Awards: Early Picks & Reactions

  • Writer: Justin Recio
    Justin Recio
  • 5 days ago
  • 7 min read
Today, the nominees for the 98th Academy Awards were announced in Beverly Hills, and it's both an exciting and historic day as Ryan Coogler's Sinners became the most nominated film of all time, garnering a staggering 16 nominations. It's literally nominated in every single category it qualifies for, except for Best Actress in a Leading Role, only because it didn't have one. The record was previously shared by All About Eve (1950), Titanic (1997), and La La Land (2016) with 14 nominations each. Do I think Sinners will sweep come March? No. Will it win some awards? Definitely.

We're still a couple of months away from the ceremony, but below are my early predictions (I haven't seen everything yet, but I've seen most, so these may change later!) and reactions to the nominations, snubs, and surprises.

Snubs


Chase Infiniti for Best Actress in a Leading Role in One Battle After Another
  • I rewatched One Battle After Another just the other day, and all of my attention was on Infiniti the entire time. She stole the show for me, and how she wasn't recognized at this year's Oscars might be the snub of the year.

Amanda Seyfried for Best Actress in a Leading Role in The Testament of Ann Lee
  • I have not seen this yet, as it's not available to watch near me, but the Internet is abuzz that Seyfried's performance being bumped for Kate Hudson's in Song Sung Blue is a slap to the face. We all know Seyfried has some serious talent, and I love Kate Hudson (she was perfect in Almost Famous), but you can just tell from the trailers alone that she deserved it more.

Paul Mescal for Best Actor in a Supporting Role in Hamnet
  • Paul Mescal emotionally scarred and made me cry the hardest in theaters last year. He really didn't have to go that hard as William Shakespeare. He deserved some recognition in the category.

Jesse Plemons for Best Actor in a Leading Role in Bugonia
  • Plemons was at his best in Bugonia, and going toe to toe with Emma Stone is not easy. I would've loved to see him get a nod here, but the category is too strong.

Joel Edgerton Best Actor in a Leading Role in Train Dreams
  • Kind of crazy that Train Dreams is nominated for Best Picture and the guy who carried the film isn't.

Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director for Frankenstein
  • Maybe it's too much of a "gimme" but if Frankenstein had been directed by anyone else, it would not have been as good as it was. Think about that.

Wicked: For Good getting completely SHUT OUT
  • Possibly the biggest surprise of the day. Not even a nomination for Best Production Design? I thought it would, at minimum, get three nominations.

Ariana Grande for Best Actress in a Supporting Role for Wicked: For Good
  • Personally, Grande was much better in For Good than in Part 1, and I thought she had a better shot at actually winning this year than last, but there was no campaign, and everything just fell through.

"The Girl in the Bubble" for Best Original Song in Wicked: For Good
  • Speaking of Ariana Grande, the addition of this song enhanced For Good for me, and this entire sequence was brilliant. Diane Warren isn't going to win, so stop wasting nominations on her!

No Other Choice for Best International Feature & Best Picture
  • One of the best films from last year just ran out of steam and failed to get any recognition this year. The Parasite effect just didn't work out this time.

The Fantastic Four: First Steps & Superman for Best Visual Effects
  • They probably didn't stand a chance against Avatar: Fire & Ash, but they both looked great, and to give one of those spots to The Lost Bus instead? What are we doing, guys?

Warfare for Best Sound
  • I will die on the hill that the sound design of Warfare is one of the best of the 2020s. I could riot right now that it wasn't at all nominated.

Sorry, Baby for Best Original Screenplay
  • Definitely an under-the-radar film of the year, but the script was incredible. Eva Victor wrote something so deeply personal that it translated to the screen almost flawlessly.

Surprises


Delroy Lindo for Best Actor in a Supporting Role in Sinners
  • He was considered a long shot, but I thought he gave a great performance in Sinners. Although he may not win, I'm glad he's at least getting recognized.

Kate Hudson for Best Actress in a Leading Role for Song Sung Blue
  • Definitely the biggest headscratcher of the day. Not that the movie was terrible by any means, nor was Hudson, but there was virtually no buzz around her or the film. It's Song Sung Blue's sole nomination, so it feels so random and -- no offense -- like a waste of a nomination slot.

F1 for Best Picture
  • I guess with the success of Top Gun: Maverick, then why not give Kosinski another nod for F1? Don't get me wrong, I loved F1, but it just feels like filler. Like they needed a box office hit to take a spot in the top 10, so they went with this one. Sorry, Avatar.

Fun Facts


  • One Battle After Another is the second most nominated film this year (13), while Frankenstein, Marty Supreme, and Sentimental Value are tied for third (9).
  • Never in the history of the Oscars have there been two acting performances from horror films in the same category until now: Amy Madigan (Weapons) and Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners).
  • This is the first time in 25 years that the Academy has added a new category, Best Casting, which honors the casting directors for putting together an ensemble of actors who elevate an already excellent film.
  • Comedian Tig Notaro is nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film.
  • If Sinners wins Best Picture, Ryan and Zinzi Coogler would be the third married couple in history to win the big award, but they'd be the first black couple to ever do it.
  • Speaking of Sinners, both Ruth E. Carter & Ludwig Göransson could become three-time winners in their respective categories come March.
  • Avatar: Fire and Ash is the first Avatar film (so far) not to be nominated for Best Picture.
  • This is Brad Pitt's second producer-only nomination for Best Picture (F1). His first was for 12 Years a Slave, which he won.

My Picks (in bold)


Best Picture
Bugonia
F1
Frankestein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Train Dreams

Best Director
Chloé Zhao
Hamnet

Josh Safdie
Marty Supreme

Paul Thomas Anderson
One Battle After Another
Joachim Trier
Sentimental Value

Ryan Coogler
Sinners

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet
Marty Supreme

Leonardo DiCaprio
One Battle After Another

Ethan Hawke
Blue Moon
Michael B. Jordan
Sinners

Wagner Moura
The Secret Agent

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Jessie Buckley
Hamnet

Rose Byrne
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Kate Hudson
Song Sung Blue
Renate Reinsve
Sentimental Value

Emma Stone
Bugonia

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Benicio Del Toro
One Battle After Another

Jacob Elordi
Frankenstein

Delroy Lindo
Sinners
Sean Penn
One Battle After Another

Stellan Skarsgård
Sentimental Value

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Elle Fanning
Sentimental Value

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan
Weapons
Wunmi Mosaku
Sinners

Teyana Taylor
One Battle After Another

Best Original Screenplay
Blue Moon, Robert Kaplow

It Was Just An Accident, Jafar Panahi in collaboration with Shadmehr Rastin, Nader Saïvar and Mehdi Mahmoudian

Marty Supreme, Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie
Sentimental Value, Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier

Sinners, Ryan Coogler

Best Adapted Screenplay
Bugonia, Will Tracy; based on the film Save the Green Planet! by Jang Joon-hwan

Frankenstein, Guillermo del Toro; based on the novel Frankenstein by Mary Shelley

Hamnet, Chloé Zhao and Maggie O'Farrell; based on the novel Hamnet by Maggie O'Farrell
One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson; based on the novel Vineland by Thomas Pynchon

Train Dreams, Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar; based on the novella Train Dreams by Denis Johnson

Best Animated Feature
Arco

Elio

KPop Demon Hunters
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

Zootopia 2

Best Casting
Hamnet, Nina Gold

Marty Supreme, Jennifer Venditti

One Battle After Another, Cassandra Kulukundis
The Secret Agent, Gabriel Domingues

Sinners, Francine Maisler

Best Cinematography
Frankenstein, Dan Laustsen

Marty Supreme, Darius Khondji

One Battle After Another, Michael Bauman
Sinners, Autumn Durald Arkapaw

Train Dreams, Adolpho Veloso

Best Costume Design
Avatar: Fire and Ash, Deborah L. Scott

Frankenstein, Kate Hawley

Hamnet, Malgosia Turzanska
Marty Supreme, Miyako Bellizzi

Sinners, Ruth E. Carter

Best Film Editing
F1, Stephen Mirrione

Marty Supreme, Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie

One Battle After Another, Andy Jurgensen
Sentimental Value, Olivier Bugge Coutté

Sinners, Michael P. Shawver

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Frankenstein, Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey

Kokuho, Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu

Sinners, Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry
The Smashing Machine, Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein

The Ugly Stepsister, Thomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg

Best Production Design
Frankenstein – Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

Hamnet – Production Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton

Marty Supreme – Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis
One Battle After Another – Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino

Sinners – Production Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Monique Champagne

Best Original Score
Bugonia, Jerskin Fendrix

Frankenstein, Alexandre Desplat

Hamnet, Max Richter
One Battle After Another, Jonny Greenwood

Sinners, Ludwig Göransson

Best Original Song
"Dear Me" from Diane Warren: Relentless, Music and lyrics by Diane Warren

"Golden" from KPop Demon Hunters, Music and lyrics by Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, Teddy, Ian Eisendrath

"I Lied to You" from Sinners, Music and lyrics by Raphael Saadiq and Ludwig Göransson
"Sweet Dreams of Joy" from Viva Verdi!, Music and lyrics by Nicholas Pike

"Train Dreams" from Train Dreams, Music by Nick Cave and Bryce Dessner; Lyrics by Nick Cave

Best Sound
F1, Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary Rizzo and Juan Peralta

Frankenstein, Greg Chapman, Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira, Christian Cooke and Brad Zoern

One Battle After Another, José Antonio García, Christopher Scarabosio, and Tony Villaflor
Sinners, Chris Welcker, Benjamin A. Burtt, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor, and Steve Boeddeker

Sirāt, Amanda Villavieja, Laia Casanovas and Yasmina Praderas

Best Visual Effects
Avatar: Fire and Ash, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon, and Daniel Barrett

F1, Ryan Tudhope, Robert Harrington, Nicolas Chevallier, and Keith Dawson

Jurassic World Rebirth, David Vickery, Stephen Aplin, Charmaine Chan, and Neil Corbould
The Lost Bus, Charlie Noble, David Zaretti, Russell Bowen and Brandon K. McLaughlin

Sinners, Michael Ralla, Espen Nordahl, Guido Wolter and Donnie Dean

The Oscars will be hosted by Conan O'Brien and air live on ABC on March 15th.

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